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Monthly return statistics

Monthly average change and the share of positive months for crypto, US and Korean stocks. Up to 10 years, refreshed once a day.

Period

※ Recently listed symbols may not have data for the full period chosen. The period actually available is shown with the results.

BAT

Sample: 62 months · 5.2 years actually available (requested 4 years)

mSamplesAverage %Share positive
Jan5-7.07%20%
Feb5-2.40%40%
Mar5+0.51%40%
Apr5-12.13%40%
May5-6.67%40%
Jun5-12.48%0%
Jul5+1.38%60%
Aug5-9.41%20%
Sep5+6.21%60%
Oct6+22.36%67%
Nov6+32.74%67%
Dec5-16.88%20%

Day-of-week statistics

Based on 1488 daily candles · Day boundary 00:00 UTC (09:00 KST)

Daily candles start at 00:00 UTC, which is 09:00 in Korea, so one candle runs from 09:00 to 09:00 the next day (KST). The weekday is the day the candle started.

DaySamplesAverage %Share positiveVersus 50%
m212+0.12%51% (±7%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Tue212-0.20%50% (±7%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Wed212-0.00%50% (±7%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Thu213-0.16%48% (±7%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Fri213+0.30%55% (±7%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Sat213+0.30%51% (±7%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
d213-0.03%46% (±7%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
  • Average % = mean change from the previous close to that day's close. Positive ratio = share of those weekdays that closed up.
  • The ± in parentheses is the 95% range implied by the sample size. A ratio within 50% ± that range cannot be told apart from a coin flip.
  • With seven days compared at once, one of them can fall outside the range by chance alone.
  • This groups past daily candles by weekday. It does not indicate the direction of the same weekday next week.

Monthly figures are past averages. This symbol's current 4-hour and 12-hour support and resistance are open without signing up. Check on the chart →

Reading the seasonal pattern

  • Average % = the N-year mean change from the month's first bar to its last
  • Positive rate = the share of years that month closed up (70% or more means it rose in most years)
  • With fewer than 4 samples there are too few cases to judge statistically.

※ A pattern that repeated in the past does not mean it will continue. Rates, the economy and company results can change it a great deal.

Seasonality — monthly average return and positive-month ratio by symbol | MarketSurfer