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Monthly return statistics

Monthly average change and the share of positive months for crypto, US and Korean stocks. Up to 10 years, refreshed once a day.

Period

※ Recently listed symbols may not have data for the full period chosen. The period actually available is shown with the results.

ETH

Sample: 68 months · 5.7 years actually available (requested 4 years)

mSamplesAverage %Share positive
Jan5-2.62%20%
Feb5+0.88%60%
Mar5+4.73%80%
Apr6+3.01%50%
May6+4.00%50%
Jun6-14.96%17%
Jul6+20.92%67%
Aug6+7.58%50%
Sep6-3.11%50%
Oct6+7.26%50%
Nov6+5.05%67%
Dec5-5.51%20%

Day-of-week statistics

Based on 1488 daily candles · Day boundary 00:00 UTC (09:00 KST)

Daily candles start at 00:00 UTC, which is 09:00 in Korea, so one candle runs from 09:00 to 09:00 the next day (KST). The weekday is the day the candle started.

DaySamplesAverage %Share positiveVersus 50%
m212+0.26%54% (±7%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Tue212-0.18%47% (±7%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Wed212+0.45%48% (±7%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Thu213-0.30%44% (±7%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Fri213+0.17%54% (±7%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Sat213+0.10%57% (±7%p)Differs from 50%
d213+0.14%51% (±7%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
  • Average % = mean change from the previous close to that day's close. Positive ratio = share of those weekdays that closed up.
  • The ± in parentheses is the 95% range implied by the sample size. A ratio within 50% ± that range cannot be told apart from a coin flip.
  • With seven days compared at once, one of them can fall outside the range by chance alone.
  • This groups past daily candles by weekday. It does not indicate the direction of the same weekday next week.

Monthly figures are past averages. This symbol's current 4-hour and 12-hour support and resistance are open without signing up. Check on the chart →

Reading the seasonal pattern

  • Average % = the N-year mean change from the month's first bar to its last
  • Positive rate = the share of years that month closed up (70% or more means it rose in most years)
  • With fewer than 4 samples there are too few cases to judge statistically.

※ A pattern that repeated in the past does not mean it will continue. Rates, the economy and company results can change it a great deal.

Seasonality — monthly average return and positive-month ratio by symbol | MarketSurfer