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Monthly return statistics

Monthly average change and the share of positive months for crypto, US and Korean stocks. Up to 10 years, refreshed once a day.

Period

※ Recently listed symbols may not have data for the full period chosen. The period actually available is shown with the results.

KERNEL

Sample: 19 months · 1.6 years actually available (requested 4 years)

※ This symbol doesn't have 4 years of data, so it was calculated over 1.6 years.

mSamplesAverage %Share positive
Jan1-18.17%0%
Feb1+39.71%100%
Mar1+27.90%100%
Apr1-38.81%0%
May2-7.61%50%
Jun2-33.02%0%
Jul2+27.63%50%
Aug2+12.16%100%
Sep2+19.37%50%
Oct2-22.22%0%
Nov2-17.69%0%
Dec1-19.76%0%

Day-of-week statistics

Based on 566 daily candles · Day boundary 00:00 UTC (09:00 KST)

Daily candles start at 00:00 UTC, which is 09:00 in Korea, so one candle runs from 09:00 to 09:00 the next day (KST). The weekday is the day the candle started.

DaySamplesAverage %Share positiveVersus 50%
m80-0.12%48% (±11%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Tue81+0.87%54% (±11%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Wed81+0.23%51% (±11%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Thu81-0.89%44% (±11%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Fri81+0.40%58% (±11%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
Sat81-0.50%38% (±11%p)Differs from 50%
d81-1.02%41% (±11%p)Not distinguishable from 50%
  • Average % = mean change from the previous close to that day's close. Positive ratio = share of those weekdays that closed up.
  • The ± in parentheses is the 95% range implied by the sample size. A ratio within 50% ± that range cannot be told apart from a coin flip.
  • With seven days compared at once, one of them can fall outside the range by chance alone.
  • This groups past daily candles by weekday. It does not indicate the direction of the same weekday next week.

Monthly figures are past averages. This symbol's current 4-hour and 12-hour support and resistance are open without signing up. Check on the chart →

Reading the seasonal pattern

  • Average % = the N-year mean change from the month's first bar to its last
  • Positive rate = the share of years that month closed up (70% or more means it rose in most years)
  • With fewer than 4 samples there are too few cases to judge statistically.

※ A pattern that repeated in the past does not mean it will continue. Rates, the economy and company results can change it a great deal.

Seasonality — monthly average return and positive-month ratio by symbol | MarketSurfer